Detecting Markov Chain Instability a Monto Carlo approach

Open Access
Authors
Publication date 12-2017
Journal Stochastic Systems
Volume | Issue number 7 | 2
Pages (from-to) 289-314
Organisations
  • Faculty of Science (FNWI) - Korteweg-de Vries Institute for Mathematics (KdVI)
Abstract
We devise a Monte Carlo based method for detecting whether a non-negative Markov chain is stable for a given set of parameter values. More precisely, for a given subset of the parameter space, we develop an algorithm that is capable of deciding whether the set has a subset of positive Lebesgue measure for which the Markov chain is unstable. The approach is based on a variant of simulated annealing, and consequently only mild assumptions are needed to obtain performance guarantees.
The theoretical underpinnings of our algorithm are based on a result stating that the stability of a set of parameters can be phrased in terms of the stability of a single Markov chain that searches the set for unstable parameters. Our framework leads to a procedure that is capable of performing statistically rigorous tests for instability, which has been extensively tested using several examples of standard and non-standard queueing networks.
Document type Article
Language English
Published at https://doi.org/10.1287/stsy.2017.0003
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