Conditional independences and causal relations implied by sets of equations

Open Access
Authors
Publication date 07-2021
Journal Journal of Machine Learning Research
Volume | Issue number 22 | 178
Pages (from-to) 1-62
Organisations
  • Faculty of Science (FNWI) - Korteweg-de Vries Institute for Mathematics (KdVI)
  • Faculty of Science (FNWI) - Informatics Institute (IVI)
Abstract
Real-world complex systems are often modelled by sets of equations with endogenous and exogenous variables. What can we say about the causal and probabilistic aspects of variables that appear in these equations without explicitly solving the equations? We make use of Simon's causal ordering algorithm (Simon, 1953) to construct a causal ordering graph and prove that it expresses the effects of soft and perfect interventions on the equations under certain unique solvability assumptions. We further construct a Markov ordering graph and prove that it encodes conditional independences in the distribution implied by the equations with independent random exogenous variables, under a similar unique solvability assumption. We discuss how this approach reveals and addresses some of the limitations of existing causal modelling frameworks, such as causal Bayesian networks and structural causal models.
Document type Article
Language English
Published at http://jmlr.org/papers/v22/20-863.html
Downloads
Permalink to this page
Back