Robust neural determination of the source-count distribution of the Fermi-LAT sky at high latitudes

Open Access
Authors
Publication date 15-11-2025
Journal Physical Review D
Article number 103022
Volume | Issue number 112 | 10
Pages (from-to) 1-55
Number of pages 55
Organisations
  • Faculty of Science (FNWI) - Institute of Physics (IoP) - Institute for Theoretical Physics Amsterdam (ITFA)
Abstract

Over the past 16 years, the Fermi Large Area Telescope (LAT) has significantly advanced our view of the GeV gamma-ray sky, yet several key questions remain—such as the composition of the isotropic gamma-ray background, the origin of the Fermi Bubbles, or the potential presence of signatures from exotic physics like dark matter. Addressing these challenges requires sophisticated astrophysical modeling and robust statistical methods capable of handling high-dimensional parameter spaces. In this work, we analyze 14 years of high-latitude (|b| ≥ 30°) Fermi-LAT data in the range from 1 to 10 GeV using simulation-based inference (SBI) via neural ratio estimation. This approach allows us to detect individual gamma-ray sources and derive a list of significant gamma-ray emitters containing more than 98% of all sources listed in the Fermi-LAT Fourth Source Catalog (4FGL) with a flux S > 3 × 10−10 cm−2 s−1 (about a factor of 3 larger than the flux above which 4FGL is nearly complete), without any non-4FGL source detected in that flux range. Additionally, we reconstruct the source-count distribution in both parametric and nonparametric forms, achieving large agreement with previous literature results as well as those sources detected by our SBI pipeline. We also quantitatively validate our gamma-ray emission simulator via an anomaly detection technique, demonstrating that the synthetic data closely reproduce the complexity of the real observations.

Document type Article
Language English
Published at https://doi.org/10.1103/p4gf-d2zt
Other links https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/105025659461
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