The nature of prediction (and the prediction of nature)

Climate scenarios used by the climate panel IPPC reveal a possible future climate, which is not
meant to be used as a climate prediction. However, such scenarios are misused frequently
to determine policy and strategy, for instance infrastructure, water management and energy
facilities. On 15 March 2010, Jason Frank, researcher at the Centrum Wiskunde & Informatica,
was appointed full professor Dynamical Systems and Numerical Analysis at the University of
Amsterdam. In his inaugural lecture, delivered on 21 April 2011, he gives a mathematical
view on the predictability of natural systems, such as the climate system, and looks at the
challenges, techniques and the role of computational methods.