- Here to stay: authoritarianism in the Middle East
- The Broker
- Pages (from-to)
- Document type
- Faculty of Social and Behavioural Sciences (FMG)
- Amsterdam Institute for Social Science Research (AISSR)
Autocratic regimes in the Middle East will continue to coexist with capitalism.
Six structural factors strengthen authoritarianism: oil rents, protectionism in a globalized economy, the threat of ethnic and other cleavages, external threats, patrimonial networks, and cultural traditions.
Outside interventions to impose democracy will not succeed; at the same time Western support for non-democratic regimes undermines Western credibility.
Only slow and careful cooperation with existing (secular and religious) groups might contribute to democracy in the long term.
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