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Author
A. Dijksterhuis
M.W. Bos
A. van der Leij
R.B. van Baaren
Year
2009
Title
Predicting soccer matches after unconscious and conscious thought as a function of expertise
Journal
Psychological Science
Volume | Issue number
20 | 11
Pages (from-to)
1381-1387
Document type
Article
Faculty
Faculty of Social and Behavioural Sciences (FMG)
Institute
Psychology Research Institute (PsyRes)
Abstract
In two experiments, we investigated the effects of expertise and mode of thought on the accuracy of people’s predictions. Both experts and nonexperts predicted the results of soccer matches after conscious thought, after unconscious thought, or immediately. In Experiment 1, experts who thought unconsciously outperformed participants in all other conditions. Whereas unconscious thinkers showed a correlation between expertise and accuracy of prediction, no such relation was observed for conscious thinkers or for immediate decision makers. In Experiment 2, this general pattern was replicated. In addition, experts who thought unconsciously were better at applying diagnostic information than experts who thought consciously or who decided immediately. The results are consistent with unconscious-thought theory.
URL
go to publisher's site
Language
Undefined/Unknown
Permalink
http://hdl.handle.net/11245/1.317863

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