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Zoekopdracht: faculteit: "FEB" en publicatiejaar: "2011"

AuteursC. van Ewijk, M. Volkerink
TitelWill ageing lead to a higher real exchange rate for the Netherlands?
UitgeverCPB
PlaatsDen Haag
Jaar2011
Pagina's32
ISBN9789058335371
SerietitelCPB Discussion paper
Serienummer197
FaculteitFaculteit Economie en Bedrijfskunde
Instituut/afd.FEB: Research Institute in Economics and Econometrics Amsterdam (RESAM)
SamenvattingLong-term projections for the Netherlands indicate that demand for nontradables – e.g. health care services – will increase relative to supply due to population ageing. If this leads to higher future real exchanges rates this will erode the return of the savings currently made to prepare for ageing. This paper explores the magnitude of potential price effects using a modified version of the ‘two country, four commodity framework’ developed by Obstfeld and Rogoff (2005) to explore the exchange rate effects of the balance of payments reversal in the US. When these price effects are substantial, this may have serious consequences for policies to enhance national saving in the Netherlands.
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