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Zoekopdracht: faculteit: "FEB" en publicatiejaar: "2009"

AuteurP. Heemeijer
TitelExpectation formation in dynamic market experiments
PromotorC.H. Hommes
Co-promotorJ.H. Sonnemans
Datum29-01-2009
UitgeverThela Thesis
PlaatsAmsterdam
Jaar2009
Pagina's298
ISBN9789036101158
FaculteitFaculteit Economie en Bedrijfskunde
Instituut/afd.FEB: Amsterdam School of Economics Research Institute (ASE-RI)
TrefwoordenVoorspellingen; Verwachtingen; Economische modellen; Computersimulaties
Basisclassificatie83.03 methoden en technieken van de economie
SamenvattingPeople often make mistakes when predicting economic variables such as prices. It is important to understand how these predictions are formed, since people's expectations have a large impact on the development and stability of economic systems. In this thesis the expectation formation of individuals is analysed using experimental methods. Several well-known economic models have been recreated in a computer laboratory, with recruited individuals taking the role of forecasters. Based on the experimental results, the thesis answers questions about the kinds of prediction rules individuals use, the degree of coordination among individuals' predictions, and the effect of expectation formation on economic stability.
TaalEnglish
OpmerkingenTinbergen Institute research series no. 450
Soort documentProefschrift
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