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Zoekopdracht: faculteit: "FEB" en publicatiejaar: "1994"

AuteursP.P. Wakker, R.K. Sarin
TitelA general result in quantifying beliefs
TijdschriftEconometrica
Jaargang62
Jaar1994
Nummer62
Pagina's683-685
ISSN00129682
FaculteitFaculteit Economie en Bedrijfskunde
Instituut/afd.FEB: Research Institute in Economics and Econometrics Amsterdam (RESAM)
TrefwoordenDecision-making; Beliefs; Mathematical methods
SamenvattingThis paper presents conditions under which a person's beliefs about the occurrence of uncertain events are quantified by a capacity measure, i.e., a nonadditive probability. Additivity of probability is violated in a large number of applications where probabilities are vague or ambiguous due to lack of information. The key feature of the theory presented in this paper is a separation of the derivation of capacities for events from a specific choice model. This is akin to eliciting a probability distribution for a random variable without committing to a specific decision model. Conditions are given under which Choquet expected utility, the Machina-Schmeidler probabilistically sophisticated model, and subjective expected utility can be derived as special cases of our general model.
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