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Query: faculty: "FEB" and publication year: "2010"

AuthorsT. Bao, C. Hommes, J. Sonnemans, J. Tuinstra
TitleIndividual expectations, limited rationality and aggregate outcomes
PublisherUniversiteit van Amsterdam
PlaceAmsterdam
Year2010
Pages39
Title seriesCeNDEF working paper
Series number10-07
FacultyFaculty of Economics and Business
Institute/dept.FEB: Amsterdam School of Economics Research Institute (ASE-RI)
AbstractRecent studies suggest that the type of strategic environment or expectation feedback may have a large impact on whether the market learns the rational fundamental price. We present an experiment where the fundamental price experiences large unexpected shocks. Markets with negative expectation feedback (strategic substitutes) quickly converge to the new fundamental, while markets with positive expectation feedback (strategic complements) do not converge, but show under-reaction in the short run and over-reaction in the long run. A simple evolutionary selection model of individual learning explains these differences in aggregate outcomes.
Document typeReport
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