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Query: faculty: "FEB" and publication year: "2009"

AuthorsJ.F. Kiviet, G.D.A. Phillips
TitleHigher-order asymptotic expansions of the least-squares estimation bias in first-order dynamic regression models
Year2009
Pages37
Title seriesUvA-Econometrics Discussion Paper
Series number2009/09
FacultyFaculty of Economics and Business
Institute/dept.FEB: Research Institute in Economics and Econometrics Amsterdam (RESAM)
AbstractAn approximation to order T-² is obtained for the bias of the full vector of least- squares estimates in general stable but not necessarily stationary ARX(1) models with normal disturbances. This yields generalizations, allowing for various forms of initial conditions, of Kendall's and White's classic results for stationary AR(1) models. The accuracy of various alternative approximations is examined and compared by simulation for particular parametrizations of AR(1) and ARX(1) models. The results show that often the second-order approximation is considerably better than its first order counterpart and hence opens perspectives for improved bias correction. However, we also find that order T-² approximations are more vulnerable in the near unit root case than the much simpler order T-¹ approximations.
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